According to AIFC's forecast in its "Aviation Finance in Kazakhstan and Central Asia" report, Turkmenistan's fleet will grow from a current 27 to 43 aircraft by 2030 — a 59.3% increase.
Cross-checking this baseline figure against the primary source revealed a discrepancy: national carrier Turkmenistan Airlines' official website lists a current fleet of 25 aircraft — two fewer than AIFC's figure. The gap may stem from differing counting approaches: AIFC's total may include cargo or state aircraft alongside Turkmenistan Airlines' passenger fleet, or reference data from a different period.
Turkmenistan Airlines is the country's monopoly national carrier; foreign airlines maintain only limited, non-competing presence (Turkish Airlines, Belavia, S7, flydubai, China Southern). Official passenger traffic statistics for Turkmenistan are not published, complicating independent verification of both fleet size and other industry indicators.
The gap between AIFC's forecast and the airline's own data is not an isolated case — similar methodological discrepancies have been noted for other countries in the report, underscoring that its specific figures should be treated as directional benchmarks rather than precise counts.